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Dwarkesh Podcast

elon musk - "in 36 months, the cheapest place to put ai will be space”

adam marblestone – ai is missing something fundamental about the brain

an audio version of my blog post, thoughts on ai progress (dec 2025)

sarah paine – why russia lost the cold war

ilya sutskever – we're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

satya nadella — how microsoft is preparing for agi

sarah paine – how russia sabotaged china's rise

andrej karpathy — agi is still a decade away

nick lane – life as we know it is chemically inevitable

some thoughts on the sutton interview

richard sutton – father of rl thinks llms are a dead end

fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – sergey levine

how hitler almost starved britain – sarah paine

why evolution designed us to die fast, & how we can change that – jacob kimmel

china is killing the us on energy. does that mean they’ll win agi? – casey handmer

it may be impossible to outcompete factory farming – lewis bollard

sarah paine: how imperial japan crushed tsarist russia & qing china

stephen kotkin — how do we explain stalin?

why i don’t think agi is right around the corner

godfather of synthetic bio on de-aging, de-extinction, & weaponized mirror life — george church

china’s manufacturing dominance: state directives & ruthless competition — arthur kroeber

“china’s digging out of a crisis. but america’s luck is wearing thin.” — ken rogoff

why i don’t think agi is right around the corner

xi jinping’s paranoid approach to agi, debt crisis, & politburo politics — victor shih

how does claude 4 think? — sholto douglas & trenton bricken

the last human ceo

mark zuckerberg – llama 4, deepseek, trump, ai friends, & race to agi

why rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — kyle harper

agi is still 30 years away — ege erdil & tamay besiroglu

2027 intelligence explosion: month-by-month model — scott alexander & daniel kokotajlo

ama ft. sholto & trenton: new book, career advice given agi, how i'd start from scratch

joseph henrich – why humans survived and smarter species didn't

satya nadella – microsoft’s agi plan & quantum breakthrough

satya nadella – microsoft’s agi plan & quantum breakthrough

satya nadella – microsoft’s agi plan & quantum breakthrough

jeff dean & noam shazeer – 25 years at google: from pagerank to agi

jeff dean & noam shazeer – 25 years at google: from pagerank to agi

jeff dean & noam shazeer – 25 years at google: from pagerank to agi

sarah paine episode 3: how mao conquered china

sarah paine episode 3: how mao conquered china

sarah paine episode 3: how mao conquered china

sarah paine episode 2: why japan lost (lecture & interview)

sarah paine episode 2: why japan lost (lecture & interview)

sarah paine episode 2: why japan lost (lecture & interview)

sarah paine episode 1: the war for india (lecture & interview)

sarah paine episode 1: the war for india (lecture & interview)

sarah paine episode 1: the war for india (lecture & interview)

tyler cowen - the #1 bottleneck to ai progress is humans

tyler cowen - the #1 bottleneck to ai progress is humans

tyler cowen - the #1 bottleneck to ai progress is humans

adam brown – how future civilizations could change the laws of physics

adam brown – how future civilizations could change the laws of physics

adam brown – how future civilizations could change the laws of physics

gwern branwen - how an anonymous researcher predicted ai's trajectory

gwern branwen - how an anonymous researcher predicted ai's trajectory

gwern branwen - how an anonymous researcher predicted ai's trajectory

dylan patel & jon (asianometry) – how the semiconductor industry actually works

dylan patel & jon (asianometry) – how the semiconductor industry actually works

dylan patel & jon (asianometry) – how the semiconductor industry actually works

daniel yergin – oil explains the entire 20th century

daniel yergin – oil explains the entire 20th century

daniel yergin – oil explains the entire 20th century

david reich - how one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago

david reich - how one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago

david reich - how one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago

joe carlsmith - otherness and control in the age of agi

joe carlsmith - otherness and control in the age of agi

joe carlsmith - otherness and control in the age of agi

patrick mckenzie - how a discord server saved thousands of lives

patrick mckenzie - how a discord server saved thousands of lives

patrick mckenzie - how a discord server saved thousands of lives

tony blair - life of a pm, the deep state, lee kuan yew, & ai's 1914 moment

tony blair - life of a pm, the deep state, lee kuan yew, & ai's 1914 moment

tony blair - life of a pm, the deep state, lee kuan yew, & ai's 1914 moment

francois chollet, mike knoop - llms won’t lead to agi - $1,000,000 prize to find true solution

francois chollet, mike knoop - llms won’t lead to agi - $1,000,000 prize to find true solution

francois chollet, mike knoop - llms won’t lead to agi - $1,000,000 prize to find true solution

leopold aschenbrenner - china/us super intelligence race, 2027 agi, & the return of history

leopold aschenbrenner - china/us super intelligence race, 2027 agi, & the return of history

leopold aschenbrenner - china/us super intelligence race, 2027 agi, & the return of history

john schulman (openai cofounder) - reasoning, rlhf, & plan for 2027 agi

john schulman (openai cofounder) - reasoning, rlhf, & plan for 2027 agi

john schulman (openai cofounder) - reasoning, rlhf, & plan for 2027 agi

mark zuckerberg - llama 3, open sourcing $10b models, & caesar augustus

mark zuckerberg - llama 3, open sourcing $10b models, & caesar augustus

mark zuckerberg - llama 3, open sourcing $10b models, & caesar augustus

sholto douglas & trenton bricken - how to build & understand gpt-7's mind

sholto douglas & trenton bricken - how to build & understand gpt-7's mind

sholto douglas & trenton bricken - how to build & understand gpt-7's mind

demis hassabis - scaling, superhuman ais, alphazero atop llms, rogue nations threat

demis hassabis - scaling, superhuman ais, alphazero atop llms, rogue nations threat

demis hassabis - scaling, superhuman ais, alphazero atop llms, rogue nations threat

patrick collison (stripe ceo) - craft, beauty, & the future of payments

patrick collison (stripe ceo) - craft, beauty, & the future of payments

patrick collison (stripe ceo) - craft, beauty, & the future of payments

tyler cowen - hayek, keynes, & smith on ai, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth

tyler cowen - hayek, keynes, & smith on ai, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth

tyler cowen - hayek, keynes, & smith on ai, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth

lessons from the years of lyndon johnson by robert caro [narration]

lessons from the years of lyndon johnson by robert caro [narration]

lessons from the years of lyndon johnson by robert caro [narration]

will scaling work? [narration]

will scaling work? [narration]

will scaling work? [narration]

jung chang - living through cultural revolution and the crimes of mao

jung chang - living through cultural revolution and the crimes of mao

jung chang - living through cultural revolution and the crimes of mao

andrew roberts - sv's napoleon cult, why hitler lost ww2, churchill as applied historian

andrew roberts - sv's napoleon cult, why hitler lost ww2, churchill as applied historian

andrew roberts - sv's napoleon cult, why hitler lost ww2, churchill as applied historian

dominic cummings - covid, brexit, & fixing western governance

dominic cummings - covid, brexit, & fixing western governance

dominic cummings - covid, brexit, & fixing western governance

paul christiano - preventing an ai takeover

paul christiano - preventing an ai takeover

paul christiano - preventing an ai takeover

shane legg (deepmind founder) - 2028 agi, new architectures, aligning superhuman models

shane legg (deepmind founder) - 2028 agi, new architectures, aligning superhuman models

shane legg (deepmind founder) - 2028 agi, new architectures, aligning superhuman models

grant sanderson (3blue1brown) - past, present, & future of mathematics

grant sanderson (3blue1brown) - past, present, & future of mathematics

grant sanderson (3blue1brown) - past, present, & future of mathematics

sarah c. m. paine - ww2, taiwan, ukraine, & maritime vs continental powers

sarah c. m. paine - ww2, taiwan, ukraine, & maritime vs continental powers

sarah c. m. paine - ww2, taiwan, ukraine, & maritime vs continental powers

dario amodei (anthropic ceo) - scaling, alignment, & ai progress

dario amodei (anthropic ceo) - scaling, alignment, & ai progress

dario amodei (anthropic ceo) - scaling, alignment, & ai progress

andy matuschak - self-teaching, spaced repetition, & why books don’t work

andy matuschak - self-teaching, spaced repetition, & why books don’t work

andy matuschak - self-teaching, spaced repetition, & why books don’t work

carl shulman (pt 2) - ai takeover, bio & cyber attacks, detecting deception, & humanity's far future

carl shulman (pt 2) - ai takeover, bio & cyber attacks, detecting deception, & humanity's far future

carl shulman (pt 2) - ai takeover, bio & cyber attacks, detecting deception, & humanity's far future

carl shulman (pt 1) - intelligence explosion, primate evolution, robot doublings, & alignment

carl shulman (pt 1) - intelligence explosion, primate evolution, robot doublings, & alignment

carl shulman (pt 1) - intelligence explosion, primate evolution, robot doublings, & alignment

richard rhodes - making of atomic bomb, ai, ww2, oppenheimer, & abolishing nukes

richard rhodes - making of atomic bomb, ai, ww2, oppenheimer, & abolishing nukes

richard rhodes - making of atomic bomb, ai, ww2, oppenheimer, & abolishing nukes

eliezer yudkowsky - why ai will kill us, aligning llms, nature of intelligence, scifi, & rationality

eliezer yudkowsky - why ai will kill us, aligning llms, nature of intelligence, scifi, & rationality

eliezer yudkowsky - why ai will kill us, aligning llms, nature of intelligence, scifi, & rationality

ilya sutskever (openai chief scientist) - building agi, alignment, future models, spies, microsoft, taiwan, & enlightenment

ilya sutskever (openai chief scientist) - building agi, alignment, future models, spies, microsoft, taiwan, & enlightenment

ilya sutskever (openai chief scientist) - building agi, alignment, future models, spies, microsoft, taiwan, & enlightenment

nat friedman - reading ancient scrolls, open source, & ai

nat friedman - reading ancient scrolls, open source, & ai

nat friedman - reading ancient scrolls, open source, & ai

brett harrison - ftx us former president & hft veteran speaks out

brett harrison - ftx us former president & hft veteran speaks out

brett harrison - ftx us former president & hft veteran speaks out

marc andreessen - ai, crypto, 1000 elon musks, regrets, vulnerabilities, & managerial revolution

marc andreessen - ai, crypto, 1000 elon musks, regrets, vulnerabilities, & managerial revolution

marc andreessen - ai, crypto, 1000 elon musks, regrets, vulnerabilities, & managerial revolution

garett jones - immigration, national iq, & less democracy

garett jones - immigration, national iq, & less democracy

garett jones - immigration, national iq, & less democracy

lars doucet - progress, poverty, georgism, & why rent is too damn high

lars doucet - progress, poverty, georgism, & why rent is too damn high

lars doucet - progress, poverty, georgism, & why rent is too damn high

holden karnofsky - transformative ai & most important century

holden karnofsky - transformative ai & most important century

holden karnofsky - transformative ai & most important century

bethany mclean - enron, ftx, 2008, musk, frauds, & visionaries

bethany mclean - enron, ftx, 2008, musk, frauds, & visionaries

bethany mclean - enron, ftx, 2008, musk, frauds, & visionaries

nadia asparouhova - tech elites, democracy, open source, & philanthropy

nadia asparouhova - tech elites, democracy, open source, & philanthropy

nadia asparouhova - tech elites, democracy, open source, & philanthropy

byrne hobart - ftx, drugs, twitter, taiwan, & monasticism

byrne hobart - ftx, drugs, twitter, taiwan, & monasticism

byrne hobart - ftx, drugs, twitter, taiwan, & monasticism

edward glaeser - cities, terrorism, housing, & remote work

edward glaeser - cities, terrorism, housing, & remote work

edward glaeser - cities, terrorism, housing, & remote work

kenneth t. jackson - robert moses, hero of new york?

kenneth t. jackson - robert moses, hero of new york?

kenneth t. jackson - robert moses, hero of new york?

brian potter - future of construction, ugly modernism, & environmental review

brian potter - future of construction, ugly modernism, & environmental review

brian potter - future of construction, ugly modernism, & environmental review

bryan caplan - feminists, billionaires, and demagogues

bryan caplan - feminists, billionaires, and demagogues

bryan caplan - feminists, billionaires, and demagogues

tyler cowen - talent, collapse, & pessimism of sex

tyler cowen - talent, collapse, & pessimism of sex

tyler cowen - talent, collapse, & pessimism of sex

charles c. mann - americas before columbus & scientific wizardry

charles c. mann - americas before columbus & scientific wizardry

charles c. mann - americas before columbus & scientific wizardry

austin vernon - energy superabundance, starship missiles, & finding alpha

austin vernon - energy superabundance, starship missiles, & finding alpha

austin vernon - energy superabundance, starship missiles, & finding alpha

steve hsu - intelligence, embryo selection, & the future of humanity

steve hsu - intelligence, embryo selection, & the future of humanity

steve hsu - intelligence, embryo selection, & the future of humanity

will macaskill - longtermism, altruism, history, & technology

will macaskill - longtermism, altruism, history, & technology

will macaskill - longtermism, altruism, history, & technology

joseph carlsmith - utopia, ai, & infinite ethics

joseph carlsmith - utopia, ai, & infinite ethics

joseph carlsmith - utopia, ai, & infinite ethics

fin moorhouse - longtermism, space, & entrepreneurship

fin moorhouse - longtermism, space, & entrepreneurship

fin moorhouse - longtermism, space, & entrepreneurship

alexander mikaberidze - napoleon, war, progress, and global order

alexander mikaberidze - napoleon, war, progress, and global order

alexander mikaberidze - napoleon, war, progress, and global order

sam bankman-fried - crypto, altruism, and leadership

sam bankman-fried - crypto, altruism, and leadership

sam bankman-fried - crypto, altruism, and leadership

agustin lebron - trading, crypto, and adverse selection

agustin lebron - trading, crypto, and adverse selection

agustin lebron - trading, crypto, and adverse selection

ananyo bhattacharya - john von neumann, jewish genius, and nuclear war

ananyo bhattacharya - john von neumann, jewish genius, and nuclear war

ananyo bhattacharya - john von neumann, jewish genius, and nuclear war

stephen grugett (manifold markets founder) - predictions markets & revolutionizing governance

stephen grugett (manifold markets founder) - predictions markets & revolutionizing governance

stephen grugett (manifold markets founder) - predictions markets & revolutionizing governance

pradyu prasad - imperial japan, the god emperor, and militarization in the modern world

pradyu prasad - imperial japan, the god emperor, and militarization in the modern world

pradyu prasad - imperial japan, the god emperor, and militarization in the modern world

razib khan - genomics, intelligence, and the church of science

razib khan - genomics, intelligence, and the church of science

razib khan - genomics, intelligence, and the church of science

jimmy soni - peter thiel, elon musk, and the paypal mafia

jimmy soni - peter thiel, elon musk, and the paypal mafia

jimmy soni - peter thiel, elon musk, and the paypal mafia

bryan caplan - discrimination, poverty, & mental illness

bryan caplan - discrimination, poverty, & mental illness

bryan caplan - discrimination, poverty, & mental illness

richard hanania - foreign policy, fertility, and wokeness

richard hanania - foreign policy, fertility, and wokeness

richard hanania - foreign policy, fertility, and wokeness

david deutsch - ai, america, fun, & bayes

david deutsch - ai, america, fun, & bayes

david deutsch - ai, america, fun, & bayes

byrne hobart - optionality, stagnation, and secret societies

byrne hobart - optionality, stagnation, and secret societies

byrne hobart - optionality, stagnation, and secret societies

david friedman - dating markets, legal systems, bitcoin, and automation

david friedman - dating markets, legal systems, bitcoin, and automation

david friedman - dating markets, legal systems, bitcoin, and automation

sarah fitz-claridge - taking children seriously

sarah fitz-claridge - taking children seriously

sarah fitz-claridge - taking children seriously

michael huemer - anarchy, capitalism, and progress

michael huemer - anarchy, capitalism, and progress

michael huemer - anarchy, capitalism, and progress

uncle bob - the long reach of code

uncle bob - the long reach of code

uncle bob - the long reach of code

scott aaronson - quantum computing, complexity, and creativity

scott aaronson - quantum computing, complexity, and creativity

scott aaronson - quantum computing, complexity, and creativity

scott young - ultralearning

scott young - ultralearning

scott young - ultralearning

charles murray - human accomplishment and the future of liberty

charles murray - human accomplishment and the future of liberty

charles murray - human accomplishment and the future of liberty

alex tabarrok - prizes, prices, and public goods

alex tabarrok - prizes, prices, and public goods

alex tabarrok - prizes, prices, and public goods

caleb watney - america's innovation engine

caleb watney - america's innovation engine

caleb watney - america's innovation engine

robin hanson - the long view

robin hanson - the long view

robin hanson - the long view

jason crawford - the roots of progress

jason crawford - the roots of progress

jason crawford - the roots of progress

matjaž leonardis - science, identity, and probability

matjaž leonardis - science, identity, and probability

matjaž leonardis - science, identity, and probability

tyler cowen - the great reset

tyler cowen - the great reset

tyler cowen - the great reset

bryan caplan - nurturing orphaned ideas

bryan caplan - nurturing orphaned ideas

bryan caplan - nurturing orphaned ideas